Now Category 4, Hurricane Bud forecast to weaken before Baja hit

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The second named storm of the Pacific hurricane season grew into a Category 4 storm off Mexico's Pacific coast on Tuesday, as forecasters believe it will weaken before it impacts the popular resorts along the southern Baja California peninsula.

Hurricane Bud strengthened to category 4 overnight but is expected to weaken later today, the United States National Hurricane Center (NHC) said this morning. It was centred about 235 miles (380 kilometres) southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, and was moving northwest at 10 mph (17 kph).

As of 5 p.m. ET, Bud had winds of 75 miles per hour and was moving to the northwest at 9 miles per hour.

Torrential downpours could cause "life-threatening" flash floods, mudslides and waves along coastal areas in Mexico, the NHC said.

The center said the hurricane still could generate unsafe surf and rip currents over the coming days, with heavy swells reaching the peninsula later Tuesday.

Hurricane Bud is the sequel to last week's Hurricane Aletta, which was eventually downgraded to a tropical storm.

Regardless of development, this disturbance will likely produce locally heavy rainfall across portions of Nicaragua, Honduras, Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula through Thursday, the hurricane center said.

Instead of curving westward like Aletta, AccuWeather predicts Bud will head towards Baja California, passing over cooler waters and weakening into a tropical storm that will hit the region with showers and thunderstorms beginning Thursday and carrying on into the weekend.

With maximum sustained winds of 115mph, Hurricane Bud is expected to rip through the western coasts of Mexico in the coming days.

The National Weather Service's seven-day rainfall forecast.

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